PA Power Demand Spurs Concerns Over Rising Rates, Gas Dependency

By Danielle Smith, Keystone State News Connection

Utility providers foresee a big rise in electricity demand which could lead to double-digit rate hikes if it is met with new natural gas-fired power plants, according to a new report.

PJM is the nonprofit independent system managing the power grid in Pennsylvania and 12 other states. It forecasts the need for 67 more gigawatts by 2039.

Sean O’Leary, senior researcher at the Ohio River Valley Institute, said relying on natural gas for the increased power demand could drive up Pennsylvania’s rates faster than the national average. He cautioned addressing the climate effects of increased carbon emissions later could make costs skyrocket even more.

“It costs almost as much to retrofit a gas-fired power plant so that it won’t emit greenhouse gases as it costs to build the plant in the first place,” O’Leary pointed out. “Right now, Pennsylvanians get about 60% of all of their electricity from natural gas.”

O’Leary noted that PJM anticipates needing around 100 gigawatts of new capacity, combining 30 gigawatts of retiring coal and older gas plants with additional demand, equating to about two-thirds of the system’s current generation capacity.

The Institute’s report recommended prioritizing renewable resources and called on PJM to reevaluate its demand projections since it has a history of overestimating future needs. He added more than 90% of PJM’s upcoming projects are solar, wind, and battery storage, which underscores the growing role of renewable energy and efficiency measures.

“I think in total, there are more than 90 gigawatts, currently, of renewable resources currently queued up and wanting the opportunity to provide energy to PJM,” O’Leary reported. “That should be the first place that PJM turns.”

He added states like Texas have made enough progress on renewables, solar and wind power now supply almost one-third of the state’s electricity. The report showed the growth in renewable energy has also seen rates come down significantly, surpassing Pennsylvania, Ohio, and West Virginia, where it was once thought the natural gas boom lowered energy costs.

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Source: bctv